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Lithuania — physical cross-border flows, 2026

Every month of the year, every border, in energy and in money. Flows are measured; each megawatt-hour is valued at Lithuania's own day-ahead price for the quarter-hour it actually crossed in.

Month by month

All borders together, with consumption for scale.

Month Consumption, MWh Physical exports Physical imports Average price, €/MWh Difference € Import ÷ consumption
MWh€/MWh€ MWh€/MWh€
January 1,413,110 152,565 124.04 18,924,602 701,461 163.09 114,399,442 152.46 −95,474,840 49.6%
February 1,276,164 82,967 138.85 11,519,596 620,482 164.91 102,326,710 155.47 −90,807,115 48.6%
March 973,265 239,061 62.75 15,000,092 506,564 92.14 46,676,459 82.07 −31,676,367 52.0%
April 864,254 323,015 43.94 14,192,609 342,925 70.20 24,074,745 58.32 −9,882,135 39.7%
May 925,687 295,940 66.61 19,713,573 370,488 89.03 32,983,237 82.21 −13,269,664 40.0%
June 944,129 282,651 78.09 22,071,079 431,196 96.61 41,659,066 93.71 −19,587,988 45.7%
July 972,195 266,635 60.28 16,072,454 372,925 83.74 31,228,530 75.86 −15,156,075 38.4%
August 975,493 235,224 63.83 15,015,461 378,409 93.96 35,553,502 79.84 −20,538,041 38.8%
September95.7% of hours 950,049 189,139 84.56 15,993,769 352,815 120.51 42,518,854 108.59 −26,525,085 37.1%
October87.8% of hours 956,476 182,998 83.07 15,202,297 430,753 105.32 45,365,975 99.38 −30,163,679 45.0%
Total 10,250,823 2,250,195 72.75 163,705,531 4,508,017 114.64 516,786,520 103.27 −353,080,989 44.0%

Consumption is measured separately, as the hourly average power summed over the month — not by adding up readings, since sources publish at different rates. The last column puts imports next to it for scale; it is not a dependency figure, because part of what enters passes straight through to another neighbour.

Where the difference comes from

353,080,989 € for 2,257,821 MWh that stayed in the country works out at 156.38 € per megawatt-hour, in a month that averaged 103.27.

  • Energy that stayed, at the month's average price 233,159,142 66.0%
  • What came in arrived above that average 51,255,758 14.5%
  • What went out left below it 68,666,089 19.4%

The first line is energy the country needed and got. The other two — 119,921,847 € together — come not from how much moved but from when: cheap hours to sell in, expensive hours to buy in. That is the price of a timing mismatch, not a loss.

Official validation

The measured physical flow, checked against ANRE's published commercial trade.

Month Physical net, MWh Commercial net, MWh Difference, MWh Status
January ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
February ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
March ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
April ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
May ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
June ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
July ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
August ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
September ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA
October ——— AWAITING OFFICIAL ANRE DATA

Gross volumes differ by design: the official indicators include transits, and a transit is counted once entering and once leaving, while a physical border sees it only once. Net figures converge, because transits cancel out — which is why the comparison is made on the net.

The percentage relates the difference to the month's commercial net. In a month with a small net, the same difference in MWh yields a larger percentage — which is why the difference is always shown in MWh as well.

ANRE publishes these exchanges as a physical balance in GWh. It publishes no import or export value and no average price per direction, so no money comparison is possible.

Physical cross-border flows and commercial electricity trades measure different phenomena. ANRE data is shown as an independent official benchmark and should not be interpreted as an exact reconciliation.

Border by border

Sweden

Month by month, Lithuania's side of this border.

Month Physical exports MWh €/MWh € Physical imports MWh €/MWh € Difference €
January 4,362 90.98 396,835 459,956 159.92 73,557,889 −73,161,055
February 6,234 86.76 540,873 391,494 165.90 64,950,332 −64,409,460
March 141,422 60.02 8,487,595 120,222 93.24 11,209,111 −2,721,517
April 187,575 39.37 7,384,102 130,941 78.13 10,230,812 −2,846,710
May 158,243 75.02 11,870,973 128,488 76.30 9,804,183 2,066,790
June 132,616 84.37 11,189,252 196,113 88.16 17,288,723 −6,099,471
July 122,800 68.84 8,453,688 145,700 75.77 11,039,403 −2,585,714
August 98,557 64.78 6,384,557 227,026 90.10 20,454,890 −14,070,333
September 42,907 120.53 5,171,431 184,373 98.03 18,074,102 −12,902,671
October 51,849 121.96 6,323,257 252,394 80.70 20,368,813 −14,045,556
Total 946,563 69.94 66,202,563 2,236,707 114.89 256,978,260 −190,775,697

Latvia

Month by month, Lithuania's side of this border.

Month Physical exports MWh €/MWh € Physical imports MWh €/MWh € Difference €
January 85,014 108.13 9,192,159 204,604 171.07 35,002,033 −25,809,874
February 41,562 162.43 6,751,121 174,206 161.26 28,093,185 −21,342,064
March 28,800 36.44 1,049,481 360,673 92.69 33,431,176 −32,381,694
April 66,062 35.11 2,319,612 189,226 68.78 13,014,903 −10,695,291
May 62,902 20.70 1,302,234 216,440 100.13 21,673,011 −20,370,777
June 75,393 46.53 3,508,183 208,419 107.23 22,349,454 −18,841,271
July 52,633 11.71 616,426 208,001 91.60 19,051,987 −18,435,561
August 39,142 31.42 1,229,879 131,703 104.02 13,699,760 −12,469,881
September 58,773 39.11 2,298,842 146,058 148.39 21,673,704 −19,374,862
October 32,718 24.51 801,758 167,642 140.76 23,598,073 −22,796,315
Total 542,999 53.54 29,069,696 2,006,971 115.39 231,587,285 −202,517,590

Poland

Month by month, Lithuania's side of this border.

Month Physical exports MWh €/MWh € Physical imports MWh €/MWh € Difference €
January 63,190 147.74 9,335,609 36,901 158.25 5,839,519 3,496,089
February 35,170 120.20 4,227,602 54,782 169.46 9,283,193 −5,055,591
March 68,839 79.36 5,463,015 25,669 79.32 2,036,172 3,426,844
April 69,378 64.70 4,488,895 22,758 36.43 829,030 3,659,866
May 74,795 87.44 6,540,366 25,559 58.92 1,506,043 5,034,323
June 74,642 98.79 7,373,643 26,665 75.79 2,020,889 5,352,754
July 91,202 76.78 7,002,340 19,224 59.15 1,137,140 5,865,200
August 97,526 75.89 7,401,025 19,681 71.08 1,398,852 6,002,173
September 87,459 97.46 8,523,496 22,385 123.79 2,771,048 5,752,448
October 98,431 82.06 8,077,282 10,716 130.56 1,399,089 6,678,192
Total 760,633 89.97 68,433,272 264,339 106.76 28,220,974 40,212,298

Method

Not an invoice. Cross-border electricity is not sold country to country: the markets are coupled and the physical flow is the outcome of a shared auction. These figures value the measured flow at this zone's own day-ahead price, so both directions can be compared on the same scale.

Flows are measured, quarter-hour by quarter-hour; hourly borders are spread across the four quarters they cover, so every megawatt-hour meets the price that was actually in force. Energy entering the country is not the same as energy consumed here — some of it passes through.

A country between two others carries energy that is neither produced nor consumed there. Energy entering is not energy used.

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